The recent incident at the port of Tianjin should serve as a "substantial wake-up call to all cargo insurers," Derrick says. "Tianjin port covers an area of around 125 square kilometers, but only a small part of the port was affected by the explosion. Even so, we are expecting to see cargo losses of at least $1.5bn with some reports stating that the final figure could be as high as $6bn. Cargo insurers need to understand what the dollar loss might have been if the entire port had been affected, perhaps by a natural catastrophe such as an earthquake or tsunami."
He continued, "added to the direct impact of the Tianjin explosion, we also understand that goods outside of the blast area have been contaminated by dangerous chemicals. This will add to the final loss figure."
The Tianjin incident, coupled with other large losses in 2015 – including the grounding of car carrier Höegh Osaka, resulting in a vehicle loss exposure of GBP35m – is expected to have an impact on the profitability of the marine cargo sector in 2014 and 2015.
Derrick believes that the management of unexpected accumulation risk will become an increasing problem for cargo insurers in the future and called for new technology to assist insurers in handling that risk.
More positively, Derrick reported a reduction in successful piracy attacks off the Somali coast but warned that attacks off the Malay Peninsula were increasing and called for more to be done to suppress this trend.
