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The Midwest “flash drought” that gripped the region through the spring and early summer of 2023 has shown a glimmer of relaxation with dry areas dropping for the first time since May.
Drought across the Midwest recently fell to 63.54% from 64.71% during the week of June 30, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. The area of extreme and exceptional drought rose, however, from 3.52% to 4.27% for the week ending July 4.
During April 2023, only 5.46% of the Midwest was in drought.
Through the spring and early summer, a resilient block of high pressure parked across northern North America was responsible for Canada’s record wildfire season and leaving the Midwest parched, said Brad Rippey, a meteorologist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
“What transpired in the Midwest this spring and early summer is a classic flash drought, despite the absence of sustained heat,” Rippey said in an email interview. “In other words, drought has developed quickly, in spite of relatively cool conditions.”
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The recent rains have contributed to a drop in corn futures through July 5. The crop saw its biggest drop since early 2021 as larger acreage and improving crop conditions signaled better supplies.
Rippey said that the blocking high that has kept the Midwest and a large part of Canada dry has shown signs of breaking down. But this has come at a cost — on June 29 a derecho ripped across northern Missouri and southern Iowa east to central and southern Indiana, bringing widespread damage from winds between 60 and 100 miles per hour.
“The big question for agriculture is how much damage has been done now that some rain is starting to fall again,” Rippey said. “Chances are, we’ve already trimmed some corn yield potential, but soybeans in most areas can still fully recover.”
The region isn’t completely in the clear, a second high-pressure system, that has been bringing record heat to Texas and taxing its power grid, could expand northward in July 2023 and August 2023, which would compound problems across the Midwest.
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